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Tail risk measures on financial markets

Public support

  • Provider

    Czech Science Foundation

  • Programme

    International projects

  • Call for proposals

    SGA0202600002

  • Main participants

    Masarykova univerzita / Ekonomicko-správní fakulta

  • Contest type

    VS - Public tender

  • Contract ID

    26-22676J

Alternative language

  • Project name in Czech

    Tail risk measures on financial markets

  • Annotation in Czech

    Understanding the dynamics of asset prices is relevant for all traded assets that lead to uncertain future payoffs. The study of market risk has been the focal point of the financial community, as it plays an essential role in many financial applications. In recent years, there has been a major shift in the related literature, as more emphasis is now given to the tails of the future asset return distribution as opposed to volatility. In the proposed project, we plan to contribute to the literature by addressing i) approaches used for forecasting tail-risk measures, ii) augmentation of the models by implied moments of the Q-distribution iii) augmentation of the models by incorporating sentiment measures, and iv) exploration of model applications and the impact measurement using economic loss functions. The main benefit of our research team is that it focuses on the strengths of both research teams: financial econometrics, which is inherently backward-looking (MUNI), and sentiment (MUNI, NYCU), which are forward-looking measures.

Scientific branches

  • R&D category

    ZV - Basic research

  • OECD FORD - main branch

    10103 - Statistics and probability

  • OECD FORD - secondary branch

    50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

  • OECD FORD - another secondary branch

    50206 - Finance

  • CEP - equivalent branches <br>(according to the <a href="http://www.vyzkum.cz/storage/att/E6EF7938F0E854BAE520AC119FB22E8D/Prevodnik_oboru_Frascati.pdf">converter</a>)

    AH - Economics<br>BB - Applied statistics, operational research<br>GA - Agricultural economics

Solution timeline

  • Realization period - beginning

    Jan 1, 2026

  • Realization period - end

    Dec 31, 2028

  • Project status

    Z - Beginning multi-year project

  • Latest support payment

Data delivery to CEP

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

  • Data delivery code

    CEP26-GA0-GC-R

  • Data delivery date

    May 6, 2026

Finance

  • Total approved costs

    7,890 thou. CZK

  • Public financial support

    6,432 thou. CZK

  • Other public sources

    1,458 thou. CZK

  • Non public and foreign sources

    0 thou. CZK