Tail risk measures on financial markets
Public support
Provider
Czech Science Foundation
Programme
International projects
Call for proposals
SGA0202600002
Main participants
Masarykova univerzita / Ekonomicko-správní fakulta
Contest type
VS - Public tender
Contract ID
26-22676J
Alternative language
Project name in Czech
Tail risk measures on financial markets
Annotation in Czech
Understanding the dynamics of asset prices is relevant for all traded assets that lead to uncertain future payoffs. The study of market risk has been the focal point of the financial community, as it plays an essential role in many financial applications. In recent years, there has been a major shift in the related literature, as more emphasis is now given to the tails of the future asset return distribution as opposed to volatility. In the proposed project, we plan to contribute to the literature by addressing i) approaches used for forecasting tail-risk measures, ii) augmentation of the models by implied moments of the Q-distribution iii) augmentation of the models by incorporating sentiment measures, and iv) exploration of model applications and the impact measurement using economic loss functions. The main benefit of our research team is that it focuses on the strengths of both research teams: financial econometrics, which is inherently backward-looking (MUNI), and sentiment (MUNI, NYCU), which are forward-looking measures.
Scientific branches
R&D category
ZV - Basic research
OECD FORD - main branch
10103 - Statistics and probability
OECD FORD - secondary branch
50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics
OECD FORD - another secondary branch
50206 - Finance
CEP - equivalent branches <br>(according to the <a href="http://www.vyzkum.cz/storage/att/E6EF7938F0E854BAE520AC119FB22E8D/Prevodnik_oboru_Frascati.pdf">converter</a>)
AH - Economics<br>BB - Applied statistics, operational research<br>GA - Agricultural economics
Solution timeline
Realization period - beginning
Jan 1, 2026
Realization period - end
Dec 31, 2028
Project status
Z - Beginning multi-year project
Latest support payment
—
Data delivery to CEP
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data delivery code
CEP26-GA0-GC-R
Data delivery date
May 6, 2026
Finance
Total approved costs
7,890 thou. CZK
Public financial support
6,432 thou. CZK
Other public sources
1,458 thou. CZK
Non public and foreign sources
0 thou. CZK