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LD12029

Downscaling the Global Climate Models with use of the Stochastic Weather Generator

Project goals

The project will focus on using the parametric and non-parametric stochastic weather generators (WGs) for downscaling the Global Climate Model (GCM). Aims: (1) Improvement and validation of the WGs. (2) Comparison of their performance with other downscaling methods involved in COST ES1102. (3) Linking the WGs with the GCM-based climate change scenarios. (4) Construction of the probabilistic climate change scenarios from GCM simulations in terms of WG parameters and various climatic characteristics. (5)Implementation of the daily cycle (in terms of the hourly values) into the weather generator.

Keywords

climate changeglobal climate modeldownscalingstochastic weather generatorextremes and variability of climate

Public support

  • Provider

    Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports

  • Programme

    COST CZ

  • Call for proposals

    COST CZ 2 (SMSM2012LD2)

  • Main participants

    Ústav fyziky atmosféry AV ČR, v. v. i.

  • Contest type

    VS - Public tender

  • Contract ID

    MSMT-7027/2012-36

Alternative language

  • Project name in Czech

    Downscaling globálních klimatických modelů pomocí stochastického meteorologického generátoru

  • Annotation in Czech

    (1) Validace stochastických meteorologických generátorů, jejich zdokonalení a přizpůsobení potřebám Akce COST ES1102. (2) Porovnání generátorů M&Rfi a GeNNeR s výstupy dalších SDS metod účastnících se akce ES1102. (3) Spřažení generátoru M&Rfi s GCM modely. (4) Konstrukce pravděpodobnostních scénářů změny klimatu. (5) Implementace denního cyklu do generátoru.

Scientific branches

  • R&D category

    ZV - Basic research

  • CEP classification - main branch

    DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology

  • CEP - secondary branch

  • CEP - another secondary branch

  • 10509 - Meteorology and atmospheric sciences
    10510 - Climatic research

Completed project evaluation

  • Provider evaluation

    V - Vynikající výsledky projektu (s mezinárodním významem atd.)

  • Project results evaluation

    Two subaims of E004 stage were fulfilled in 2015: A. construction of probabilistic climate change scenarios, B. participation in the ES1102 action's experiment aiming at comparison of the statistical downscaling methods. Included in B, the present investigator optimised and validated his two generators. Results of the project were presented in 5 international conferences and 1 paper.

Solution timeline

  • Realization period - beginning

    Mar 1, 2012

  • Realization period - end

    Dec 31, 2015

  • Project status

    U - Finished project

  • Latest support payment

    Feb 26, 2015

Data delivery to CEP

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

  • Data delivery code

    CEP16-MSM-LD-U/02:1

  • Data delivery date

    Oct 11, 2017

Finance

  • Total approved costs

    781 thou. CZK

  • Public financial support

    781 thou. CZK

  • Other public sources

    0 thou. CZK

  • Non public and foreign sources

    0 thou. CZK

Basic information

Recognised costs

781 CZK thou.

Public support

781 CZK thou.

0%


Provider

Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports

CEP

DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology

Solution period

01. 03. 2012 - 31. 12. 2015