Predicting ash dieback severity and environmental suitability for the disease in forest stands

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00027073%3A_____%2F19%3AN0000042" target="_blank" >RIV/00027073:_____/19:N0000042 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/60460709:41320/19:81363

Result on the web

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2019.1584638" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2019.1584638</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2019.1584638" target="_blank" >10.1080/02827581.2019.1584638</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Predicting ash dieback severity and environmental suitability for the disease in forest stands

Original language description

Ash dieback, caused by the ascomycete fungus Hymenoscyphus fraxineus, has been rapidly expanding across Europe during the last two decades, posing a considerable threat to native ash populations. In this study, we applied regression-based models trained by field data, in conjunction with geographic information systems, to produce spatial predictions of ash dieback severity and environmental suitability for the disease in Czech forests. A model of actual ash dieback severity relates disease extent to silvicultural and environmental characteristics of forest stands and their neighbourhood, while a model of environmental suitability for the disease quantifies the relative susceptibility of sites to the disease, independent of the current silvicultural characteristics. The final predictive maps suggested that fertile lowlands and humid areas bordering Poland and Slovakia were the most endangered regions. Areas at the lowest risk of damage were concentrated in dry areas and in highland and mountain areas in the western part of the country, usually with poor soils on acid bedrock. Predictions of actual disease severity are an effective tool for guiding the current management of infested stands whereas predicting environmental suitability is useful for making long-term strategic decisions, e.g. identifying areas where future ash regeneration and cultivation may be unsuccessful.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

40102 - Forestry

Project

<a href="/en/project/QJ1220218" target="_blank" >QJ1220218: The development of effective measurements eliminating the impact of Chalara fraxinea in forest nursery and in subsequent aspects of forest and water management.</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2019

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research

ISSN

0282-7581

e-ISSN

1651-1891

Volume of the periodical

34

Issue of the periodical within the volume

4

Country of publishing house

NO - NORWAY

Number of pages

13

Pages from-to

254-266

UT code for WoS article

000465267700003

EID of the result in the Scopus database

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