Closing the Window of Vulnerability: Nuclear Proliferation and Conventional Retaliation

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11230%2F19%3A10380367" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11230/19:10380367 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=711BBSqIjJ" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=711BBSqIjJ</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09636412.2018.1508635" target="_blank" >10.1080/09636412.2018.1508635</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Closing the Window of Vulnerability: Nuclear Proliferation and Conventional Retaliation
Original language description
Living with a nuclear-armed enemy is unattractive, but, strangely, states seldom use their military power to prevent the enemy's entry into the nuclear club. It is puzzling why preventive strikes against nuclear programs have been quite rare. I address this puzzle by considering the role of conventional retaliation, a subfield of deterrence that so far has received scant attention in the literature. I theorize the concept of conventional retaliation and test its explanatory power. First, I explore all historical cases where states struck another state's nuclear installations and find none occurring when the proliferator threatened conventional retaliation. Second, I explore two cases where a strike was most likely, but the would-be attacker balked and find smoking-gun evidence that the threat of conventional retaliation restrained the would-be attacker. This evidence supports my claim that the threat of conventional retaliation is sufficient to deter a preventive strike against emerging nuclear states.
Czech name
—
Czech description
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Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
50601 - Political science

Project
<a href="/en/project/GA16-02288S" target="_blank" >GA16-02288S: Anatomy of Revisionism and Its Impact on (Sub-)Regional Institutionalisations and Alliances</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year
2019
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

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