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Currency depreciations in emerging economies: A blessing or a curse for external debt management?

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11230%2F21%3A10433612" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11230/21:10433612 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=8hzo4wl~BG" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=8hzo4wl~BG</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2021.09.003" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.inteco.2021.09.003</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Currency depreciations in emerging economies: A blessing or a curse for external debt management?

  • Original language description

    We investigate the long-term effect of domestic currency depreciation on external debt for a panel of 41 emerging economies over the years 1999-2019 based on quarterly data. Using heterogeneous panel cointegration methods, we find that domestic currency depreciation leads to an increase in the external debt to GDP ratio over the long-term and it might, therefore, reduce the sustainability of external debt. This is particularly the case for larger depreciations, while smaller depreciations might even reduce the external debt burden over the long-term for more developed emerging economies. Poorer emerging economies face a greater increase in external debt burden following domestic currency depreciation. We also find that higher exchange rate volatility and the use of floating exchange rates contribute to a greater increase in external debt burden over the long-term following currency depreciation. Furthermore, we find asymmetric effects of exchange rate depreciation on external debt: greater central bank independence limits the effect of currency depreciation on external debt, while higher financial development and illicit financial flows augment the effect of depreciation on external debt.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>SC</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50201 - Economic Theory

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2021

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    International Economics

  • ISSN

    2110-7017

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    168

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    December

  • Country of publishing house

    NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

  • Number of pages

    34

  • Pages from-to

    132-165

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85118254871