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Macroeconomic responses of emerging market economies to oil price shocks: An analysis by region and resource profile

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11230%2F22%3A10454640" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11230/22:10454640 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=QiQm5ntPUU" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=QiQm5ntPUU</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.100988" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.100988</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Macroeconomic responses of emerging market economies to oil price shocks: An analysis by region and resource profile

  • Original language description

    We analyze the impact of oil price shocks on the macroeconomic fundamentals in emerging economies in three regions that have different resource endowments. The existing literature on emerging economies remains inconclusive on how regional factors and resource characteristics affect the response of macroeconomic variables to oil price shocks. We show that (1) exports in Europe and Central Asia are driven by oil more than East Asia and the Pacific and that (2) policy makers in East Asia and the Pacific should be concerned about real exchange appreciation following a positive oil shock to mitigate losses in the non-oil export market. Analysis by resource endowment further reveals that, in less-resource-intensive economies, an oil price shock causes large variations in consumption and has a negative and persistent impact on the real gross domestic product (GDP). In mineral-exporting economies, real GDP and interest rates are driven largely by oil price shocks. The response of real GDP in mineral-exporting economies is short lived. In oil-exporting economies, only real GDP has a large variation in response to oil price shocks. Our findings highlight the need for customized policy responses to oil price shocks, depending on resource endowments, as we show that a &quot;one size fits all&quot; policy does not exist. (C) 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50201 - Economic Theory

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GX19-26812X" target="_blank" >GX19-26812X: Frontiers in Energy Efficiency Economics and Modelling - FE3M</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2022

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Economic Systems

  • ISSN

    0939-3625

  • e-ISSN

    1878-5433

  • Volume of the periodical

    46

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    3

  • Country of publishing house

    NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

  • Number of pages

    16

  • Pages from-to

    100988

  • UT code for WoS article

    000895357000003

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85131540295