Russia's Failed Nuclear Coercion Against Ukraine
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11230%2F23%3A10471898" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11230/23:10471898 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Vtu-oiHp4V" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Vtu-oiHp4V</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0163660X.2023.2259665" target="_blank" >10.1080/0163660X.2023.2259665</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Russia's Failed Nuclear Coercion Against Ukraine
Original language description
Available scholarship suggests that successful nuclear coercion against resolved adversaries is difficult and, hence, rare. However, Russia appears to have attempted it: When annexing four Ukrainian provinces in autumn 2022, Moscow employed nuclear rhetoric to either force Kyiv into submission or, at a minimum, to limit the Ukrainian forces' freedom of action. Why did the Russian government think it could succeed? Absent access to governmental decision-making documents, our efforts focus on exploiting the existent literature on nuclear coercion, on leveraging our close monitoring of Russia's nuclear rhetoric to conduct congruence analysis, and on extrapolating from various literatures towards theory building. First, we discuss why researchers conclude nuclear coercion is hard. Second, we offer a careful reconstruction of Russia's behaviour. Finally, we propose three potentially complementary pathways that arguably contributed to Moscow's choice to attempt nuclear coercion: overestimating the utility of nuclear weapons; misjudgement of Western stakes; and misunderstanding of global implications.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
50601 - Political science
Result continuities
Project
—
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2023
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
The Washington Quarterly
ISSN
0163-660X
e-ISSN
1530-9177
Volume of the periodical
46
Issue of the periodical within the volume
3
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
18
Pages from-to
167-184
UT code for WoS article
001086034900009
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85174168265