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Russia's Failed Nuclear Coercion Against Ukraine

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11230%2F23%3A10471898" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11230/23:10471898 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Vtu-oiHp4V" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Vtu-oiHp4V</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0163660X.2023.2259665" target="_blank" >10.1080/0163660X.2023.2259665</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Russia's Failed Nuclear Coercion Against Ukraine

  • Original language description

    Available scholarship suggests that successful nuclear coercion against resolved adversaries is difficult and, hence, rare. However, Russia appears to have attempted it: When annexing four Ukrainian provinces in autumn 2022, Moscow employed nuclear rhetoric to either force Kyiv into submission or, at a minimum, to limit the Ukrainian forces&apos; freedom of action. Why did the Russian government think it could succeed? Absent access to governmental decision-making documents, our efforts focus on exploiting the existent literature on nuclear coercion, on leveraging our close monitoring of Russia&apos;s nuclear rhetoric to conduct congruence analysis, and on extrapolating from various literatures towards theory building. First, we discuss why researchers conclude nuclear coercion is hard. Second, we offer a careful reconstruction of Russia&apos;s behaviour. Finally, we propose three potentially complementary pathways that arguably contributed to Moscow&apos;s choice to attempt nuclear coercion: overestimating the utility of nuclear weapons; misjudgement of Western stakes; and misunderstanding of global implications.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50601 - Political science

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2023

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    The Washington Quarterly

  • ISSN

    0163-660X

  • e-ISSN

    1530-9177

  • Volume of the periodical

    46

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    3

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    18

  • Pages from-to

    167-184

  • UT code for WoS article

    001086034900009

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85174168265