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Climate-driven change of nitrogen retention-attenuation near irrigated fields: multi-model projections for Central Asia

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F17%3A10362557" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/17:10362557 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6418-y" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6418-y</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6418-y" target="_blank" >10.1007/s12665-017-6418-y</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Climate-driven change of nitrogen retention-attenuation near irrigated fields: multi-model projections for Central Asia

  • Original language description

    Agricultural intensification in semiarid regions comes at a cost of relatively high water losses through evapotranspiration and can contribute to releases of nutrients and pesticides that affect downstream water quality. In addition, highly managed river basins may be particularly sensitive to future climate change. However, effects on retention-attenuation of nutrients are difficult to quantify due to the complexity and variability of relevant processes. We here use the example case of the large (covering 1.3% of the earth&apos;s land surface) and extensively irrigated Aral Sea Drainage Basin (ASDB) in Central Asia, together with 73 general circulation model (GCM) projection results and field-data driven nitrogen retention-attenuation modeling, to investigate to which extent projected future climate change (for years 2025, 2050 and 2100) can influence nitrogen loads and concentrations in the water systems of the basin. Results for the principal Amu Darya River of the ASDB suggest that riverine concentrations of nitrogen will decrease considerably throughout the coming century. This is due to projected climate-related decreases in runoff and river discharge, which increases internal nitrogen recirculation ratios, average transport distances and nitrogen retention-attenuation. However, in groundwater near the agricultural fields, there is in contrast a risk of considerable nitrogen accumulation. More generally, the sensitivity of nitrogen concentrations in the ADRB to climate-driven changes in runoff and discharge is likely to be shared with many highly managed basins in arid and semiarid regions of Central Asia, and the world.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10508 - Physical geography

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2017

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Environmental Earth Sciences

  • ISSN

    1866-6280

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    76

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    3

  • Country of publishing house

    DE - GERMANY

  • Number of pages

    12

  • Pages from-to

  • UT code for WoS article

    000393021800019

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85011266032