Trend forecasting for waste generation with structural break

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F20%3A10417242" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/20:10417242 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/00216305:26210/20:PU136587

Result on the web

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=DngBmWQXQR" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=DngBmWQXQR</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121814" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121814</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Trend forecasting for waste generation with structural break

Original language description

For waste management planning, the adequate estimation of future waste production is crucial. Within waste production forecasting it is necessary to tackle with several challenges. The waste production data often consists of annual short time-series, but prediction horizon considers long-term estimation. Trend analysis seems to be a suitable approach for modelling waste production and its extrapolation. A methodology for forecasting waste generation based on historical data with a structural break is presented. To apply the approach, it is necessary to determine the estimation of separation potential. The principle is based on the idea of credibility theory where information from all territories is combined. Experience from other territories, which are more advanced in separation development, is used for forecasting. Finally, the population projection is taken into account to obtain information on absolute waste production. The case study is devoted to the forecasting of bio-waste production at the microregional level in the Czech Republic. There has been revealed an essential impact when population forecasting was included in the model. The increase in the average bio-waste production for microregions is expected. It will grow from 67 kg/cap/year in 2017 to 156 kg/cap/year in 2030. In 2030, most micro-regions would reach their potential based on this forecasting. (c) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50402 - Demography

Project

Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2020

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Journal of Cleaner Production

ISSN

0959-6526

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

266

Issue of the periodical within the volume

1 September 2020

Country of publishing house

US - UNITED STATES

Number of pages

16

Pages from-to

121814

UT code for WoS article

000552362200011

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85085108933