In pursuit of sustainability - Spatio-temporal pathways of urban growth patterns in the world's largest megacities

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F22%3A10447415" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/22:10447415 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=-b51Hyu1~d" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=-b51Hyu1~d</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2022.103919" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.cities.2022.103919</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

In pursuit of sustainability - Spatio-temporal pathways of urban growth patterns in the world's largest megacities

Original language description

Governing the future growth of the world&apos;s megacities towards higher land use efficiency is important for achieving global sustainability. We have computed statistics of the urban growth modes of 33 megacities (with ten-million-plus population) worldwide for two periods (1985-2000 and 2000-2015) and performed a hierarchical cluster analysis to examine their urban growth patterns. Results reveal that urban growth has mostly occurred through edge expansion but also that its relative dominance has decreased due to the rising shares of the infilling and outlying growth modes. Based on the co-occurrence and changing dominance of these three urban growth modes over time, four pathways of urban growth patterns are identified- oscillating/ping pong, transition-to-densification, transition-to-sprawl, and extensive sprawl. The majority of megacities followed the oscillating/ping pong pathway, which is dominated by edge expansion and altered phases of infilling and outlying growth. However, by indicating a clear shift from edge expansion towards infilling as the dominant pathway of urban growth, the transition-to-densification pathway appears to be the most sustainable in terms of land-use efficiency, with ten megacities following this pathway. Overall, our results highlight the diverse mega-urban growth pathways across the world, particularly for megacities in the Global South which generally have higher growth rates.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50701 - Cultural and economic geography

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2022

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Cities

ISSN

0264-2751

e-ISSN

1873-6084

Volume of the periodical

131

Issue of the periodical within the volume

December

Country of publishing house

GB - UNITED KINGDOM

Number of pages

15

Pages from-to

103919

UT code for WoS article

000886071000009

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85136645748