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Modeling Dependencies in Claims Reserving with GEE

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11320%2F13%3A10159163" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11320/13:10159163 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.09.018" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.09.018</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.09.018" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.09.018</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Modeling Dependencies in Claims Reserving with GEE

  • Original language description

    A common approach to the claims reserving problem is based on generalized linear models (GLM). Within this framework, the claims in different origin and development years are assumed to be independent variables. If this assumption is violated, the classical techniques may provide incorrect predictions of the claims reserves or even misleading estimates of the prediction error. In this article, the application of generalised estimating equations (GEE) for estimation of the claims reserves is shown. Claimtriangles are handled as panel data, where claim amounts within the same accident year are dependent. Since the GEE allow to incorporate dependencies, various correlation structures are introduced and some practical recommendations are given. Model selection criteria within the GEE reserving method are proposed. Moreover, an estimate for the mean square error of prediction for the claims reserves is derived in a nonstandard way and its advantages are discussed. Real data examples are pr

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

  • CEP classification

    BA - General mathematics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2013

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Insurance: Mathematics and Economics

  • ISSN

    0167-6687

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    53

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    3

  • Country of publishing house

    NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

  • Number of pages

    9

  • Pages from-to

    786-794

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database