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Pricing Kernels and Risk Premia implied in Bitcoin Options

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11320%2F23%3A10489892" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11320/23:10489892 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=bUKjQqKSJA" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=bUKjQqKSJA</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks11050085" target="_blank" >10.3390/risks11050085</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Pricing Kernels and Risk Premia implied in Bitcoin Options

  • Original language description

    Bitcoin Pricing Kernels (PKs) are estimated using a novel data set from Deribit, the leading Bitcoin options exchange. The PKs, as the ratio between risk-neutral and physical density, dynamically reflect the change in investor preferences. Thus, the PKs improve the understanding of investor expectations and risk premiums in a new asset class. Bootstrap-based confidence bands are estimated in order to validate the results. Investors are heterogeneous in their risk profiles and preferences with respect to volatility and investment horizon. The empirical PKs turn out to be U-shaped for short-dated instruments and W-shaped for long-dated instruments. We find that investors are willing to pay a substantial risk premium to insure themselves against short-term price movements. The risk premium is smaller for longer-dated instruments and their traders are risk averse. The shape of the empirical PKs reveals the existence of a time-varying risk premium. The similarity between the shape of empirical PKs for Bitcoin and other markets that represent aggregate wealth shows that Bitcoin is becoming an established asset class.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50201 - Economic Theory

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GX19-28231X" target="_blank" >GX19-28231X: DyMoDiF - Dynamic Models for the Digital Finance</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2023

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Risks

  • ISSN

    2227-9091

  • e-ISSN

    2227-9091

  • Volume of the periodical

    11

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    5

  • Country of publishing house

    CH - SWITZERLAND

  • Number of pages

    18

  • Pages from-to

    85

  • UT code for WoS article

    000996715700001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85160278880