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Historical changes in drought characteristics and their impact on vegetation cover over Madagascar

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11320%2F25%3A10509140" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11320/25:10509140 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=n7O4ytTL4P" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=n7O4ytTL4P</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025" target="_blank" >10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Historical changes in drought characteristics and their impact on vegetation cover over Madagascar

  • Original language description

    Drought has become one of the most devastating natural hazards in recent decades, causing severe vegetation degradation. This study aims to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought (duration, frequency, severity, intensity) over Madagascar during 1981-2022. In addition, it evaluates the relationship between the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) during 2000-2022, representing the impact of drought on vegetation over the studied area. Drought assessment was conducted on SPI-3, SPI-6, and SPI-12 timescales, accompanied by seasonal and annual analyses, while the NDVI-SPI relationship was examined through the analysis of vegetation changes based on specific selected SPI time periods and the correlation analysis. The findings reveal that drought events have become more consecutive during the most recent past (2017 to 2022) and have intensified over the southern part of the country. Links between drought occurrences and vegetation changes have been confirmed: monthly vegetation losses are severe and noticeable when prominent negative SPI values occur simultaneously across SPI-3, SPI-6, and SPI-12 over a region, and the impact of drought on seasonal and annual vegetation is detected when prominent negative SPI values occur from seasonal and annual SPI analyses over a region. The correlation between the NDVI anomaly and the SPI emphasizes the NDVI-SPI relationship found with statistical significance, especially over southern Madagascar. These findings are crucial for complementing other climatic factors that influence Madagascar&apos;s vegetation besides drought.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10509 - Meteorology and atmospheric sciences

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/EH22_008%2F0004605" target="_blank" >EH22_008/0004605: Natural and anthropogenic georisks</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2025

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Natural Hazards and Earth System Science

  • ISSN

    1561-8633

  • e-ISSN

    1684-9981

  • Volume of the periodical

    25

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    9

  • Country of publishing house

    DE - GERMANY

  • Number of pages

    23

  • Pages from-to

    2939-2961

  • UT code for WoS article

    001561097000001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-105015314873