Attitudinal and behavioural indices of the second demographic transition : Evidence from the last three decades in Europe
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14230%2F21%3A00124616" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14230/21:00124616 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol44/46/default.htm" target="_blank" >https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol44/46/default.htm</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2021.44.46" target="_blank" >10.4054/DemRes.2021.44.46</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Attitudinal and behavioural indices of the second demographic transition : Evidence from the last three decades in Europe
Original language description
Background: The second demographic transition (SDT), which links ideational changes with demographic developments, is one of the most prominent and debated theoretical frameworks in family demography. Yet, its operationalisations as composite sets of measures remain unevaluated. Objective: We evaluate two most frequently used SDT indices: attitudinal and behavioural. We assess how strongly they have been linked to each other in the last three decades in Europe and test their consistency over time. Methods: Using four waves of the European Values Study and publicly available demographic indicators for 23 European countries, we reconstruct, update, and evaluate the SDT indices. The attitudinal index measures postmaterialism, gender-egalitarianism, and religiosity. The behavioural index includes indicators of postponement, nonmarital childbearing, marriage, and divorce. Results: The correlation between the attitudinal and behavioural indices is positive, but its strength varies substantially over time. The indices’ strongest correlates are indicators of postponement (demographic index) along with gender-egalitarian views and the importance of leisure (attitudinal index). Marriage and divorce rates together with attitudes towards the institution of marriage are least consistent with the indices. Conclusions: Both indices are inconsistent internally and temporally. Some of the included indicators do not fit the SDT assumptions of stage-like one-directional development. Consequently, conclusions about the SDT based on cross-national data for a single year may be misleading. Contribution: We show that the ideational and demographic changes posited by the SDT should not be treated as a package. Their operationalisation should take into account their multidimensionality. To facilitate future research, we provide the ready-to-use indicator and index values used in the analysis.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50402 - Demography
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EF18_070%2F0009846" target="_blank" >EF18_070/0009846: MSCAfellow2@MUNI</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Others
Publication year
2021
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Demographic Research
ISSN
1435-9871
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
44
Issue of the periodical within the volume
June
Country of publishing house
DE - GERMANY
Number of pages
18
Pages from-to
1115-1132
UT code for WoS article
000658425200001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85108636034