Predicting structural changes of the energy sector in an input-output framework

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14230%2F23%3A00132042" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14230/23:00132042 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054422203064X" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054422203064X</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126178" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.energy.2022.126178</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Predicting structural changes of the energy sector in an input-output framework

Original language description

The share of renewable energies has to increase significantly in the ongoing energy transition. Such a shift in production technology is expected to have noticeable effects on the energy sector's input structure that is required for its output. This study examines how changes in a country's energy mix affect its energy sector's input coefficients within an input-output framework, using Austria's renewable expansion act as a case study. Predicting input coefficients can be time-consuming and often relies on trends in past data. Our empirical approach is based on a fractional econometric model using panel data on the energy mix and input structures of energy sectors for 26 European countries, and can be efficiently and readily applied to the 26 countries covered in the model. We illustrate the prediction of input coefficients for Austria's energy sector in 2030. We find that input shares from the energy sector to itself would remain high, while mining inputs would decrease. Our model also predicts that increasing the share of renewable energy sources comes with a significant decrease in the share of labor inputs, mainly because operating renewable energy technologies requires less labor than operating non-renewable ones. The presented method allows to assess renewable energy policy plans to anticipate the effects of structural changes in national energy sectors.

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2023

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Energy

ISSN

0360-5442

e-ISSN

1873-6785

Volume of the periodical

265

Issue of the periodical within the volume

February

Country of publishing house

GB - UNITED KINGDOM

Number of pages

9

Pages from-to

1-9

UT code for WoS article

000904914700001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85145566196