Future land-use change and its impact on terrestrial ecosystem carbon pool evolution along the Silk Road under SDG scenarios

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14310%2F23%3A00130497" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14310/23:00130497 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2023.03.012" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2023.03.012</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2023.03.012" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.scib.2023.03.012</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Future land-use change and its impact on terrestrial ecosystem carbon pool evolution along the Silk Road under SDG scenarios

Original language description

Sustainable development goals (SDGs) in the United Nations 2030 Agenda call for action by all nations to promote economic prosperity while protecting the planet. Projection of future land-use change under SDG scenarios is a new attempt to scientifically achieve the SDGs. Herein, we proposed four scenario assumptions based on the SDGs, including the sustainable economy (ECO), sustainable grain (GRA), sustainable environment (ENV), and reference (REF) scenarios. We forecasted land-use change along the Silk Road (resolution: 300 m) and compared the impacts of urban expansion and forest conversion on terrestrial carbon pools. There were significant differences in future land use change and carbon stocks, under the four SDG scenarios, by 2030. In the ENV scenario, the trend of decreasing forest land was mitigated, and forest carbon stocks in China increased by approximately 0.60% compared to 2020. In the GRA scenario, the decreasing rate of cultivated land area has slowed down. Cultivated land area in South and Southeast Asia only shows an increasing trend in the GRA scenario, while it shows a decreasing trend in other SDG scenarios. The ECO scenario showed highest carbon losses associated with increased urban expansion. The study enhances our understanding of how SDGs can contribute to mitigate future environmental degradation via accurate simulations that can be applied on a global scale.

Czech name

—

Czech description

—

Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10500 - Earth and related environmental sciences

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2023

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Science Bulletin

ISSN

2095-9273

e-ISSN

2095-9281

Volume of the periodical

68

Issue of the periodical within the volume

7

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

10

Pages from-to

740-749

UT code for WoS article

000985269800001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85150276712