Business Cycle Synchronization through the Lens of a DSGE Model

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14560%2F13%3A00068340" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14560/13:00068340 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://journal.fsv.cuni.cz/mag/article/show/id/1272" target="_blank" >http://journal.fsv.cuni.cz/mag/article/show/id/1272</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
—

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Business Cycle Synchronization through the Lens of a DSGE Model
Original language description
The goal of this paper is to examine business cycle synchronization between the Czech economy and the euro area via a fully specified DSGE model. Using a two-country DSGE model I decompose the observed variables into the contributions of structural shocks and then compute conditional correlations. I also examine how these correlations evolve over time. The results indicate that productivity shocks in the tradable sector are the driving forces of different business cycle behavior, while investment efficiency shocks contribute to symmetric behavior of the two economies. The impact of shocks is most symmetric in the case of investment, output, and interest rates; the impact of shocks on these variables is highly correlated. There seems to be convergence of business cycles in the case of consumption, investment, and output, as the overall impact of shocks on these variables is getting more and more symmetric over time.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—

Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
AH - Economics
OECD FORD branch
—

Project
<a href="/en/project/1M0524" target="_blank" >1M0524: Research center on competitiveness of Czech economy</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year
2013
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Similar results(10)