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What drives agricultural commodities prices? Mixed-frequency analysis of the agricultural market drivers

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14560%2F17%3A00113843" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14560/17:00113843 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    What drives agricultural commodities prices? Mixed-frequency analysis of the agricultural market drivers

  • Original language description

    The importance of agricultural commodities markets is growing and their dynamics have changed substantially recently, especially in the period after the financial crisis of 2008. The aim of the paper is to explain agricultural commodities price movements by assessing an impact of multiple economic and financial factors. We study 6 agricultural commodities, 3 representatives of the grain market and 3 soft commodities, in a time span of 20 years ranging from 01/01/1997 to 31/12/2016. We identify 9 macroeconomic and financial drivers. The data are collected from Bloomberg. We use mixed-data-sampling methodology that enables us to study drivers of various frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly) simultaneously in a single linear model. We do not find a link between energy market and agricultural commodities markets suggested by previous papers and thus we conclude that the link is not linear. In addition, results show prevailing impact of the financial variables over the impact of the macroeconomic factors, which is in line with the hypothesis of the commodity market financialization. We also break down the studied period into two fractions divided by the 2008 crisis and we find that the financialization occurred after the crisis of 2008.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50206 - Finance

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2017

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    EUROPEAN FINANCIAL SYSTEMS 2017: PROCEEDINGS OF THE 14TH INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE, PT 1

  • ISBN

    9788021086098

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    8

  • Pages from-to

    484-491

  • Publisher name

    MASARYKOVA UNIV, ZEROTINOVO NAM 9, BRNO 601 77, CZECH REPUBLIC

  • Place of publication

    Brno

  • Event location

    Brno

  • Event date

    Jan 1, 2017

  • Type of event by nationality

    EUR - Evropská akce

  • UT code for WoS article

    000418110700059