STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF RAIL TRANSPORT ACCIDENTS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25510%2F16%3A39901260" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25510/16:39901260 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF RAIL TRANSPORT ACCIDENTS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Original language description
Transport accidents are significant components of the crisis management of every transport services provider. Safety in transport has gained increasing importance over the last few years. The Transport Policy of the Czech Republic for 2014 – 2020 with the Prospect of 2050 defines the goals determining process of traffic safety development. This paper will be focused on rail transport, especially on accidents. Rail transport is an important part of the transport system in the Czech Republic because of the railway infrastructure’s density. In the monitored period 2008 – 2015 the accidents in rail transport had relatively declining trend. The aim of this article is to analyze accidents in rail transport in the Czech Republic in the period 2008 – 2015 and forecast future course for the year 2016. In the first step it will be recognized the seasonal trend of the time series of accidents in rail transport. In case that the time series will have a seasonal component, it must be cleaned of its impact. After seasonal analysis will be investigated the trend component of the time series by the growth characteristics, the chart analysis and the Theil’s coefficient. If the time series would include the trend component, we should be able to forecast the accidents in rail transport for the year 2016.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
D - Article in proceedings
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50204 - Business and management
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2016
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Article name in the collection
SGEM 2016 : Political Sciences, Law, Finance, Economics and Tourism Conference Proceedings. Book 2, vol. 5
ISBN
978-619-7105-76-6
ISSN
2367-5659
e-ISSN
neuvedeno
Number of pages
8
Pages from-to
619-626
Publisher name
STEF92 Technology Ltd.
Place of publication
Sofie
Event location
Albena
Event date
Aug 24, 2016
Type of event by nationality
WRD - Celosvětová akce
UT code for WoS article
000395727200081