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Principal Component Analysis for Evaluation of Wind Ramp Event Probability

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25530%2F15%3A39899009" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25530/15:39899009 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/61989100:27240/14:86096796

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/EPEC.2014.50" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/EPEC.2014.50</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/EPEC.2014.50" target="_blank" >10.1109/EPEC.2014.50</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Principal Component Analysis for Evaluation of Wind Ramp Event Probability

  • Original language description

    During last few decades wind energy has become one of the fastest growing renewable sources. Recent research interest in wind power forecasting community is focused on wind ramps, sudden changes in wind power output. Conventional ramp prediction methods derive future ramp estimates from power forecast series. We suggest to analyze real wind power series or other weather parameters searching for specific patterns and dependencies signalizing forthcoming wind ramp event. In this paper, principal component analysis of wind speed time series is presented. Analyzed power production and wind speed data were collected from August 2011 to July 2012 on sample wind farm located close to Let bridge, AB Canada. Sensitivity of analysis is defined by length of selected time frame. Frequency tables for first three principal components are used to evaluate conditional probability of forthcoming wind ramp event. Advantage of proposed methodology compared to conventional methods is that numerical weather prediction (NWP) model producing wind forecasts is not required.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    JE - Non-nuclear power engineering, energy consumption and utilization

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/EE2.3.30.0058" target="_blank" >EE2.3.30.0058: Development of Research Teams at the University of Pardubice</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2014

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Proceedings - 2014 Electrical Power and Energy Conference, EPEC 2014

  • ISBN

    978-1-4799-6038-5

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    5

  • Pages from-to

    208-212

  • Publisher name

    IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)

  • Place of publication

    New York

  • Event location

    Calgary

  • Event date

    Nov 12, 2014

  • Type of event by nationality

    WRD - Celosvětová akce

  • UT code for WoS article