Principal Component Analysis for Evaluation of Wind Ramp Event Probability
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25530%2F15%3A39899009" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25530/15:39899009 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/61989100:27240/14:86096796
Result on the web
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/EPEC.2014.50" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/EPEC.2014.50</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/EPEC.2014.50" target="_blank" >10.1109/EPEC.2014.50</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Principal Component Analysis for Evaluation of Wind Ramp Event Probability
Original language description
During last few decades wind energy has become one of the fastest growing renewable sources. Recent research interest in wind power forecasting community is focused on wind ramps, sudden changes in wind power output. Conventional ramp prediction methods derive future ramp estimates from power forecast series. We suggest to analyze real wind power series or other weather parameters searching for specific patterns and dependencies signalizing forthcoming wind ramp event. In this paper, principal component analysis of wind speed time series is presented. Analyzed power production and wind speed data were collected from August 2011 to July 2012 on sample wind farm located close to Let bridge, AB Canada. Sensitivity of analysis is defined by length of selected time frame. Frequency tables for first three principal components are used to evaluate conditional probability of forthcoming wind ramp event. Advantage of proposed methodology compared to conventional methods is that numerical weather prediction (NWP) model producing wind forecasts is not required.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
D - Article in proceedings
CEP classification
JE - Non-nuclear power engineering, energy consumption and utilization
OECD FORD branch
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Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EE2.3.30.0058" target="_blank" >EE2.3.30.0058: Development of Research Teams at the University of Pardubice</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Others
Publication year
2014
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Article name in the collection
Proceedings - 2014 Electrical Power and Energy Conference, EPEC 2014
ISBN
978-1-4799-6038-5
ISSN
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e-ISSN
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Number of pages
5
Pages from-to
208-212
Publisher name
IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)
Place of publication
New York
Event location
Calgary
Event date
Nov 12, 2014
Type of event by nationality
WRD - Celosvětová akce
UT code for WoS article
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