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Evaluation of Investment Risks in CBA with Monte Carlo Method

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216305%3A26110%2F15%3APU113592" target="_blank" >RIV/00216305:26110/15:PU113592 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201563010245" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201563010245</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201563010245" target="_blank" >10.11118/actaun201563010245</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Evaluation of Investment Risks in CBA with Monte Carlo Method

  • Original language description

    Investment decisions are at the core of any development strategy. Economic growth and welfare depend on productive capital, infrastructure, human capital, knowledge, total factor productivity and the quality of institutions. Decision-making process on the selection of suitable projects in the public sector is in some aspects more difficult than in the private sector. Evaluating projects on the basis of their financial profitability, where the basic parameter is the value of the potential profit, can be misleading in these cases. One of the basic objectives of the allocation of public resources is respecting of the 3E principle (Economy, Effectiveness, Efficiency) in their whole life cycle. The life cycle of the investment projects consists of four main phases. The first pre-investment phase is very important for decision-making process whether to accept or reject a public project for its realization. A well-designed feasibility study as well as cost-benefit analysis (CBA) in this phase are important assumptions for future success of the project. A future financial and economical CF which represent the fundamental basis for calculation of economic effectiveness indicators are formed and modelled in these documents. This paper deals with the possibility to calculate the financial and economic efficiency of the public investment projects more accurately by simulation methods used.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>SC</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    20101 - Civil engineering

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2015

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis

  • ISSN

    1211-8516

  • e-ISSN

    2464-8310

  • Volume of the periodical

    2015

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    63

  • Country of publishing house

    CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

  • Number of pages

    7

  • Pages from-to

    245-251

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-84925452085