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Decision Making Based on Ill-Known Decision Trees

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216305%3A26510%2F18%3APU129076" target="_blank" >RIV/00216305:26510/18:PU129076 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Decision Making Based on Ill-Known Decision Trees

  • Original language description

    IB (Insolvency and Bankruptcy) tasks are ill-known processes. Real life decision making related to IB is based on common sense reasoning only. To formalise such vague, sparse, partially inconsistent and subjective tasks as IB classical decision making trees can be used. However, traditional evaluation of these trees requires a complete set of relevant numerical values. These values are often either prohibitively inaccurate or they are unknown as they are unique. Moreover, decision economists dealing with IBs are usually not willing to invest too much time into study of complex mathematical theories. IB problem is transferred into a decision making tree which indicates all sub-decisions and random lotteries. Random lotteries quantifies such sub-IBs events which are not certain. Such decision trees are evaluated using well known methods. However, the required data sets are often incomplete. The problem of missing data items is solved by introducing a simple and generally applicable heuristic – a longer sequence of events is less probable. A company has legislatively supported several options how to deal with bankruptcy situation. Each of the option can be solved in three different ways by using decision–making tree as tool for probability determination, using already known probabilities from previous case.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50201 - Economic Theory

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2018

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    6th REDETE Conference RESEARCHING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN TRANSITION ECONOMIES

  • ISBN

    978-99938-46-80-2

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    427

  • Pages from-to

    329-345

  • Publisher name

    Neuveden

  • Place of publication

    Banja Luka

  • Event location

    Banja Luka

  • Event date

    Apr 13, 2018

  • Type of event by nationality

    WRD - Celosvětová akce

  • UT code for WoS article