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Brent Crude Oil Spot and Futures Prices: Structural Break Insights

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F26867184%3A_____%2F19%3AN0000040" target="_blank" >RIV/26867184:_____/19:N0000040 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.risk.net/journal-of-energy-markets" target="_blank" >https://www.risk.net/journal-of-energy-markets</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.21314/JEM.2019.188" target="_blank" >10.21314/JEM.2019.188</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Brent Crude Oil Spot and Futures Prices: Structural Break Insights

  • Original language description

    The relationship between oil spot and futures prices has long been a focus of attention, but there is a lack of understanding about how these prices interact in times of crisis. Using cointegration and causality analysis, Brent crude spot and futures prices are examined before, during and after two different types of crises: (1) a supply-led event (the 1990–91 Gulf War) and (2) a demand-led event (the global financial crisis). Structural break analysis was employed to identify the subsamples to be studied. The core findings show evidence of a long-run bidirectional relationship between spot and futures prices. This study provides evidence that different types of crises engender different strengths of causal relationships between Brent crude spot and futures prices.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>SC</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    N - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z neverejnych zdroju

Others

  • Publication year

    2019

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Journal of Energy Markets

  • ISSN

    1756-3615

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    12

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    4

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    22

  • Pages from-to

    31-52

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85078358592