Driverless, or Carless Future? Socio-technical Scenarios of Autonomous Urban Mobility in the Czech Republic

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F44994575%3A_____%2F20%3AN0000025" target="_blank" >RIV/44994575:_____/20:N0000025 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://tots.upol.cz/pdfs/tot/2020/01/01.pdf" target="_blank" >https://tots.upol.cz/pdfs/tot/2020/01/01.pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5507/tots.2020.003" target="_blank" >10.5507/tots.2020.003</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Driverless, or Carless Future? Socio-technical Scenarios of Autonomous Urban Mobility in the Czech Republic

Original language description

The autonomous vehicles are in the phase of prototypes and proofs-of-concept, yet the promises and visions of autonomous future already drive significant changes in long term urban planning. We utilise the socio-technical transition approach to autonomous vehicles’ services to help to understand the dynamics of the development and to direct public policies in order to foster a more environmentally and socially sustainable urban mobility. The research uses a three-round Delphi method with experts and stakeholders in the field of research and development to explore potential pathways and develop a multi-level perspective (MLP) socio-technical model of autonomous vehicles’ implementation in Czech cities. There already exist stabilising and destabilising pressures within the automobile regimes, closely connected to the autonomous vehicles development, which may result in divergent, more or less disrupting pathways. Considering a varyingly high level of uncertainty in specific regimes, we have developed three diverse socio-technical scenarios: 1. A transformation – ‘sceptical-public transport’ pathway, barring any significant technological or societal advancements towards autonomous driving in Czech urban context; 2. A reconfiguration – ‘slow incremental development’ scenario, in which the incremental progress enables more flexible and effective public transport services, shared mobility and promotes electromobility; and 3. A technological substitution – ‘techno-optimist’ scenario, relying heavily on fast technological progress towards fully autonomous vehicles without requiring vast additional infrastructure and use of V2X communication. Through analysis of the promising niche innovations and their regimelandscape interactions, the article devises a scope for possible policy actions in order to support more sustainable autonomous mobility development.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_ost - Miscellaneous article in a specialist periodical

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50902 - Social sciences, interdisciplinary

Project

Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2020

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Transactions on Transport Science

ISSN

1802-9876

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

11

Issue of the periodical within the volume

1

Country of publishing house

CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

Number of pages

13

Pages from-to

5-17

UT code for WoS article

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EID of the result in the Scopus database

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