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Exchange Market Pressure in Central European Countries with the Eurozone Membership Perspective

Result description

This paper estimates the exchange market pressure (EMP) in four Central European countries over the period 1993-2006. It is the very first paper applying concurrently model-dependent as well as model-independent approach to the EMP estimation on these countries. The results obtained suggest that the approaches lead to inconsistent findings. They often differ in identification of the principal development trends as well as magnitude and direction of the pressure. The paper provides evidence that a shiftin the exchange rate regime towards the quasi-fixed ERM II should not stimulate EMP to grow.

Keywords

Exchange Market PressureModel-dependent ApproachModel-independent ApproachEuropean UnionEuro-candidate Countries

The result's identifiers

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Exchange Market Pressure in Central European Countries with the Eurozone Membership Perspective

  • Original language description

    This paper estimates the exchange market pressure (EMP) in four Central European countries over the period 1993-2006. It is the very first paper applying concurrently model-dependent as well as model-independent approach to the EMP estimation on these countries. The results obtained suggest that the approaches lead to inconsistent findings. They often differ in identification of the principal development trends as well as magnitude and direction of the pressure. The paper provides evidence that a shiftin the exchange rate regime towards the quasi-fixed ERM II should not stimulate EMP to grow.

  • Czech name

    Tlak na devizovém trhu v zemích střední Evropy s perspektivou členství v eurozóně

  • Czech description

    V příspěvku je proveden odhad tlaku na devizovém trhu ve čtyřech zemích střední Evropy v letech 1993-2006. Je to první studie aplikující společně modelově závislý a modelově nezávislý přístup v těchto zemích. Výsledky ukazují, že použité přístupy vedou knekonzistentním závěrům. Často se liší v identifikaci hlavních trendů stejně jako velikosti a směru tlaku. Analýza ukazuje, že změna v režimu devizových kurzů by neměla stimulovat nárůst tlaku.

Classification

  • Type

    Jx - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

  • CEP classification

    AH - Economics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

Others

  • Publication year

    2008

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    South East European Journal of Economics and Business

  • ISSN

    1840-118X

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    3

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    2

  • Country of publishing house

    BA - BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

  • Number of pages

    12

  • Pages from-to

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

Result type

Jx - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

Jx

CEP

AH - Economics

Year of implementation

2008