Relationship between Government Bond Yield Spread and Fiscal Fundamentals in Selected EU Countries

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F47813059%3A19520%2F15%3A%230003749" target="_blank" >RIV/47813059:19520/15:#0003749 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Relationship between Government Bond Yield Spread and Fiscal Fundamentals in Selected EU Countries
Original language description
This paper investigates relationship between government bond yield spread and fiscal fundamentals in selected European Union member states in the period 1995-2012. The aim of the paper is to examine impact of GDP growth, budget balance, debt and the fiscal rules index on government bond yield spread. The empirical evidence is based on unbalanced annual panel data of 15 EU countries (time span is divided into a pre-crisis and a post-crisis period), data are taken from Eurostat and OECD database. Explanatory variables are not examined in individual regressions, but the study uses Generalized Method of Moments. For a model specification, Dynamic Panel Data Model Wizard is applied. Evidence shows that before the financial crisis investors generally ignoredbond risk factors in individual countries, but the spreads sharply diverged from year 2008. Results confirm statistically significant impact of fiscal fundamentals on government bond yield spread. In a post-crisis period, findings report
Czech name
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Czech description
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Project
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Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year
2015
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

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