What can European security architecture look like in the wake of Russia’s war on Ukraine?
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F48546054%3A_____%2F25%3AN0000003" target="_blank" >RIV/48546054:_____/25:N0000003 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/09662839.2024.2347221" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1080/09662839.2024.2347221</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09662839.2024.2347221" target="_blank" >10.1080/09662839.2024.2347221</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
What can European security architecture look like in the wake of Russia’s war on Ukraine?
Original language description
The paper outlines the most likely scenarios of the future European security architecture based on an analysis of several drivers, such as Russia’s leadership’s perception of Ukraine, the mindset of the Putinist elite, Russia’s state geopolitics, the domestic situation and prospects of a regime change in Russia, economic sanctions against Russia, energy and the export of Russia’s energy resources, and the positions of key Euratlantic actors. The current “unstable balance model” will remain the most likely scenario in case of a conservation of the situation on the Ukrainian battlefields. Since the concert model of security architecture entails a lack of a revisionist agenda among all the actors, the only reasonably probable security management upgrade is a “positive stable balance”. This scenario is conditioned on degrading Russia’s military capacity, Ukraine’s military advancements on the battlefields, a weakening of the Russian economy and maintaining the support for Ukraine in the EU and NATO.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50601 - Political science
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
European Security
ISSN
0966-2839
e-ISSN
1746-1545
Volume of the periodical
34
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1
Country of publishing house
GB - UNITED KINGDOM
Number of pages
21
Pages from-to
44-64
UT code for WoS article
001222466900001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85192995796