Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60076658%3A12310%2F18%3A43897659" target="_blank" >RIV/60076658:12310/18:43897659 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/67985939:_____/18:00497348 RIV/60460709:41320/18:78658
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.pnas.org/content/115/45/11543" target="_blank" >https://www.pnas.org/content/115/45/11543</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1808979115" target="_blank" >10.1073/pnas.1808979115</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century
Original language description
Determination of long-term tropical cyclone (TC) variability is of enormous importance to society; however, changes in TC activity are poorly understood owing to discrepancies among various datasets and limited span of instrumental records. While the increasing intensity and frequency of TCs have been previously documented on a long-term scale using various proxy records, determination of their poleward migration has been based mostly on short-term instrumental data. Here we present a unique treering-based approach for determination of long-term variability in TC activity via forest disturbance rates in northeast Asia (33-45 degrees N). Our results indicate significant long-term changes in TC activity, with increased rates of disturbances in the northern latitudes over the past century. The disturbance frequency was stable over time in the southern latitudes, however. Our findings of increasing disturbance frequency in the areas formerly situated at the edge of TC activity provide evidence supporting the broad relevance of poleward migration of TCs. Our results significantly enhance our understanding of the effects of climate change on TCs and emphasize the need for determination of long-term variation of past TC activity to improve future TC projections.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10618 - Ecology
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GA17-07378S" target="_blank" >GA17-07378S: Spatiotemporal reconstruction of tropical cyclones and their impact on the forest structure and diversity in Northeast Asia</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2018
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America
ISSN
0027-8424
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
115
Issue of the periodical within the volume
45
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
6
Pages from-to
11543-11548
UT code for WoS article
000449459000067
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85056137413