The Fate of Endemic Species Specialized in Island Habitat under Climate Change in a Mediterranean High Mountain

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60076658%3A12310%2F22%3A43906070" target="_blank" >RIV/60076658:12310/22:43906070 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/11/23/3193" target="_blank" >https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/11/23/3193</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants11233193" target="_blank" >10.3390/plants11233193</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

The Fate of Endemic Species Specialized in Island Habitat under Climate Change in a Mediterranean High Mountain

Original language description

Mediterranean high-mountain endemic species are particularly vulnerable to climatic changes in temperature, precipitation and snow-cover dynamics. Sierra Nevada (Spain) is a biodiversity hotspot in the western Mediterranean, with an enormous plant species richness and endemicity. Moehringia fontqueri is a threatened endemic plant restricted to north-facing siliceous rocks along a few ridges of the eastern Sierra Nevada. To guide conservation actions against climate change effects, here we propose the simultaneous assessment of the current reproductive success and the possible species&apos; range changes between current and future climatic conditions, assessing separately different subpopulations by altitude. Reproductive success was tested through the seed-set data analysis. The species&apos; current habitat suitability was modeled in Maxent using species occurrences, topographic, satellite and climatic variables. Future habitat suitability was carried out for two climatic scenarios (RCP 2.6 and 8.5). The results showed the lowest reproductive success at the lowest altitudes, and vice versa at the highest altitudes. Habitat suitability decreased by 80% from current conditions to the worst-case scenario (RCP 8.5). The lowest subpopulations were identified as the most vulnerable to climate change effects while the highest ones were the nearest to future suitable habitats. Our simultaneous assessment of reproductive success and habitat suitability aims to serve as a model to guide conservation, management and climate change mitigation strategies through adaptive management to safeguard the persistence of the maximum genetic pool of Mediterranean high-mountain plants threatened by climate change.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10618 - Ecology

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2022

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Plants-Basel

ISSN

2223-7747

e-ISSN

2223-7747

Volume of the periodical

11

Issue of the periodical within the volume

23

Country of publishing house

CH - SWITZERLAND

Number of pages

21

Pages from-to

nestrankovano

UT code for WoS article

000896314300001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85143636118