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Turkish freshwaters as a case of rising invasion risk of aquarium fishes under climate change

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60076658%3A12520%2F25%3A43910069" target="_blank" >RIV/60076658:12520/25:43910069 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-21584-4" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-21584-4</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-21584-4" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41598-025-21584-4</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Turkish freshwaters as a case of rising invasion risk of aquarium fishes under climate change

  • Original language description

    Climate change is expected to increase the invasiveness of non-native aquarium fish, yet national assessments rarely consider future warming conditions. We screened 46 popular ornamental freshwater fish imported into T &amp; uuml;rkiye for invasion risk. Each species received a Basic Risk Assessment (BRA) score under current conditions and an adjusted Climate Change Assessment (CCA) score under regional warming scenarios. The BRA classified 12 species (26.1%) as high risk, while under the CCA, this rose to 16 species (34.8%). Four species, namely goldfish Carassius auratus, common carp Cyprinus carpio, vermiculated sailfin catfish Pterygoplichthys disjunctivus, and leopard pleco P. gibbiceps, reached very high-risk status. Climate change adjustment resulted in an increase in the basic scores for 34 species, a decrease for three, and no change for nine. Seven species achieved the maximum increment of + 12 under predicted climate change conditions. Our results show that marginal habitats, such as thermal springs and effluent canals, could become suitable for these species, even as water stress in Central Anatolia threatens both native and invasive species. We recommend dynamic, climate-aware risk protocols, combined with empirical validation via field and eDNA monitoring, and a precautionary &apos;whitelist&apos; import system based on robust risk screening protocols as applied in this study.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10602 - Biology (theoretical, mathematical, thermal, cryobiology, biological rhythm), Evolutionary biology

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2025

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Scientific Reports

  • ISSN

    2045-2322

  • e-ISSN

    2045-2322

  • Volume of the periodical

    15

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    1

  • Country of publishing house

    GB - UNITED KINGDOM

  • Number of pages

    12

  • Pages from-to

    nestránkováno

  • UT code for WoS article

    001604675000017

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-105020188246