Back to the future: Climate change effects on habitat suitability of Parnassius apollo throughout the Quaternary glacial cycles

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60077344%3A_____%2F23%3A00564939" target="_blank" >RIV/60077344:_____/23:00564939 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/67985939:_____/23:00564939 RIV/60076658:12310/23:43906447

Result on the web

<a href="https://resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/icad.12615" target="_blank" >https://resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/icad.12615</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/icad.12615" target="_blank" >10.1111/icad.12615</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Back to the future: Climate change effects on habitat suitability of Parnassius apollo throughout the Quaternary glacial cycles

Original language description

1.Alpine grasslands above the treeline are severely threatened by climate change, mainly due to forest expansion driven by warmer conditions. Analogous lowland grasslands experience severe reductions due to land-use abandonment and forest encroachment.n2.To address how climate change impacted open-areas insects, we used Parnassius apollo as a model, a butterfly with wide Palearctic distribution inhabiting both alpine and low-altitude steppe grasslands. We modelled upper Pleistocene range changes from the Last Interglacial (130 Kya) to the present and future (2050/2070), using medium and high greenhouse gas emission rates for the latter.n3.We combined bioclimatic variables (Worldclim, Paleoclim, Chelsa) with distribution records of P. apollo and two of its most often used larval host plants (Sedum album, Hylotelephium telephium) to formulate species distribution models (SDMs) via the Maximum entropy method.n4.We estimated a substantial range expansion during cold periods (last glacial maximum, 22 Kya) and contractions in warmer periods. Including the host plants in the models brought reduced suitable areas estimate, possibly due to differences in climatic requirements of hosts and the butterfly. Future projections of the extent of suitable climates are surprisingly better than would be expected from a warming climate, likely because the current distribution, especially at lower elevations, is probably restricted by habitat loss due to land abandonment and afforestation.n5.We recommend preventing afforestation in critical habitats across Europe and Asia, and increasing survey activities to perform more accurate SDMs.

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10619 - Biodiversity conservation

Project

<a href="/en/project/SS01010526" target="_blank" >SS01010526: Mitigation of global climatic change impacts on selected butterfly species of Habitat Directive</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2023

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Insect Conservation and Diversity

ISSN

1752-458X

e-ISSN

1752-4598

Volume of the periodical

16

Issue of the periodical within the volume

2

Country of publishing house

US - UNITED STATES

Number of pages

12

Pages from-to

231-242

UT code for WoS article

000891183800001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85142883079