Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60077344%3A_____%2F23%3A00583975" target="_blank" >RIV/60077344:_____/23:00583975 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome

Original language description

Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to current and projected ranges, nor to past abundance change. Overall, our findings indicate that abundance change and range shifts will not lead to directional modifications in shrub trait composition, since winner and loser species share relatively similar trait spaces.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10619 - Biodiversity conservation

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2023

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Nature Communications

ISSN

2041-1723

e-ISSN

2041-1723

Volume of the periodical

14

Issue of the periodical within the volume

1

Country of publishing house

US - UNITED STATES

Number of pages

17

Pages from-to

3837

UT code for WoS article

001023698800007

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85163663396