Climate drives the long-term ant male production in a tropical community
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60077344%3A_____%2F25%3A00605126" target="_blank" >RIV/60077344:_____/25:00605126 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/60076658:12310/25:43909918
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-84789-z.pdf" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-84789-z.pdf</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-84789-z" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41598-024-84789-z</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Climate drives the long-term ant male production in a tropical community
Original language description
Forecasting insect responses to environmental variables at local and global spatial scales remains a crucial task in Ecology. However, predicting future responses requires long-term datasets, which are rarely available for insects, especially in the tropics. From 2002 to 2017, we recorded male ant incidence of 155 ant species at ten malaise traps on the 50-ha ForestGEO plot in Barro Colorado Island. In this Panamanian tropical rainforest, traps were deployed for two weeks during the wet and dry seasons. Short-term changes in the timing of male flying activity were pronounced, and compositionally distinct assemblages flew during the wet and dry seasons. Notably, the composition of these distinct flying assemblages oscillated in consistent 4-year cycles but did not change during the 16-year study period. Across time, a Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average model explained 75% of long-term variability in male ant production (i.e., the summed incidence of male species across traps), which responded negatively to monthly maximum temperature, and positively to sea surface temperature, a surrogate for El Ni & ntilde,o Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Establishing these relationships allowed us to forecast ant production until 2022 when year-long local climate variables were available. Consistent with the data, the forecast indicated no significant changes in long-term temporal trends of male ant production. However, simulations of different scenarios of climate variables found that strong ENSO events and maximum temperature impacted male ant production positively and negatively, respectively. Our results highlight the dependence of ant male production on both short- and long-term temperature changes, which is critical under current global warming.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—
Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
10618 - Ecology
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GA20-31295S" target="_blank" >GA20-31295S: Integrating genomic and trophic information into long-term monitoring of tropical insects: pollinators on Barro Colorado Island, Panama</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Scientific Reports
ISSN
2045-2322
e-ISSN
2045-2322
Volume of the periodical
15
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1
Country of publishing house
DE - GERMANY
Number of pages
11
Pages from-to
428
UT code for WoS article
001390048200012
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85213965240