Military Technology Evolution Assessment under Growing Uncertainty and Complexity: Methodological Framework for Alternative Futures

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG38__%2F17%3A00534247" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G38__/17:00534247 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844" target="_blank" >10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Military Technology Evolution Assessment under Growing Uncertainty and Complexity: Methodological Framework for Alternative Futures

Original language description

This paper offers a systematic and rigorous methodological framework for alternative futures development under growing uncertainty and complexity. It focuses on the area of military technology evolution with focus on cybernetics and robotic systems. Effectiveness of defense management is significantly constrained by its ability to predict evolution of our strategic environment, assess its impact on decision making and poses thoughtful questions about the possible consequences of current and possible future trends. It can embrace answers to following questions: What armed forces will be needed in the years ahead? What eventualities must we be prepared to contend with? What are our options? In what direction will cybernetics and robotic systems evolve and influence capability development and future conduct of operations? Of course, there are lot more questions we need to answer, albeit the future is uncertain. Obviously, we must be able to adapt our military organizations to the ever evolving environment embracing also technological advances. Alternative futures methodology aspires to become one of the instruments that will help all stakeholder to visualize futures that could plausibly emerge, depending on how current developments continue to evolve.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

D - Article in proceedings

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50902 - Social sciences, interdisciplinary

Project

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Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2017

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Article name in the collection

Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference on Military Technologies

ISBN

978-1-5386-1988-9

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Number of pages

8

Pages from-to

682-689

Publisher name

Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.

Place of publication

Piscataway, NJ 08854-4141 USA

Event location

Brno

Event date

May 31, 2017

Type of event by nationality

WRD - Celosvětová akce

UT code for WoS article

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