Future of NATO Resilience, Deterrence, and Defense in the Black Sea Region

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG38__%2F24%3A00558947" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G38__/24:00558947 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.iri.org/resources/voices-from-central-and-eastern-europe/" target="_blank" >https://www.iri.org/resources/voices-from-central-and-eastern-europe/</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Future of NATO Resilience, Deterrence, and Defense in the Black Sea Region

Original language description

Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea and instigation of war in eastern Ukraine in 2014 resulted in the most consequential redrawing of the European security landscape since the end of the Cold War. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) alliance reacted to the new security risks and threats by increasing their defense spending and, after the 2016 Warsaw Summit, by installing multinational, battalion-size battlegroups in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland. Unfortunately, despite all effort, the geopolitical West, with NATO and the European Union (EU) at the helm, failed to provide Ukraine, still a non-NATO state, with plausible security and defense guarantees against the threat of Russian aggression. The war triggered yet another round of debates among NATO members on the organization’s ability to deter potential aggression against one of its member states. A region of utmost prominence in this regard is Central and Eastern Europe, or the so-called NATO Eastern Flank, ranging from Estonia up north down to Bulgaria in the south. The Alliance’s leaders had to again find a way to make it clear to the Kremlin that attacking any NATO member states would come with a tremendously high price. It is essential for all NATO political leaders, civil experts, and military commanders to comprehend, assess, and plan to adjust the defense postures of their respective states. It is also necessary to devote all necessary resources and reinstate plausible deterrence by defense and forward defense to enhance the Alliance’s ability to face Russia’s revanchist and aggressive policies. The full implementation of the 2022 NATO Madrid Summit agreements, including definitive accession of Sweden and Finland, are the key challenges to tackle. This paper offers some “food for thought,” focusing on defense and deterrence in the Black Sea region.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

O - Miscellaneous

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50600 - Political science

Project

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Continuities

V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju

Publication year

2023

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů