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Modelling Militarized Interstate Disputes Using Data Mining Techniques: Prevention and Prediction of Conflicts

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG42__%2F20%3A00555786" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G42__/20:00555786 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1548512920925178" target="_blank" >https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1548512920925178</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1548512920925178" target="_blank" >10.1177/1548512920925178</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Modelling Militarized Interstate Disputes Using Data Mining Techniques: Prevention and Prediction of Conflicts

  • Original language description

    The use of modern data mining techniques on large datasets has become a recent phenomenon across a broad range of applications. One of the most frequent tasks is to build statistical models using historical data and utilize them to predict new, so far unclassified cases. This article examines the problem of predicting a military interstate dispute between two states (dyad) by employing selected data mining techniques. Suitable methods are identified and applied to the existing dataset of politically relevant dyads. The result is the building of statistical models for the classification of potential dyadic conflicts. The overall performance of these models is verified and cost analysis is done based on the different impacts of incorrect classification. The results are compared to other published research studies in the field of conflict prediction; the models created by data mining techniques significantly outperform all rival algorithms and approaches. Finally, the last part of the article presents the results of applying data mining techniques to association, i.e. to discovering relationships and dependencies in the data.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    21100 - Other engineering and technologies

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2020

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology

  • ISSN

    1548-5129

  • e-ISSN

    1557-380X

  • Volume of the periodical

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    květen 2020

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    15

  • Pages from-to

    1548512920925178

  • UT code for WoS article

    000536606200001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85085527991