Modelling Militarized Interstate Disputes Using Data Mining Techniques: Prevention and Prediction of Conflicts
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG42__%2F20%3A00555786" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G42__/20:00555786 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1548512920925178" target="_blank" >https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1548512920925178</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1548512920925178" target="_blank" >10.1177/1548512920925178</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Modelling Militarized Interstate Disputes Using Data Mining Techniques: Prevention and Prediction of Conflicts
Original language description
The use of modern data mining techniques on large datasets has become a recent phenomenon across a broad range of applications. One of the most frequent tasks is to build statistical models using historical data and utilize them to predict new, so far unclassified cases. This article examines the problem of predicting a military interstate dispute between two states (dyad) by employing selected data mining techniques. Suitable methods are identified and applied to the existing dataset of politically relevant dyads. The result is the building of statistical models for the classification of potential dyadic conflicts. The overall performance of these models is verified and cost analysis is done based on the different impacts of incorrect classification. The results are compared to other published research studies in the field of conflict prediction; the models created by data mining techniques significantly outperform all rival algorithms and approaches. Finally, the last part of the article presents the results of applying data mining techniques to association, i.e. to discovering relationships and dependencies in the data.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
21100 - Other engineering and technologies
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2020
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology
ISSN
1548-5129
e-ISSN
1557-380X
Volume of the periodical
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Issue of the periodical within the volume
květen 2020
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
15
Pages from-to
1548512920925178
UT code for WoS article
000536606200001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85085527991