The Connection between the Risk of Terrorism and Its Economic and Political Determinants, Analysis, and Application for Forecasting
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG42__%2F24%3A00558211" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G42__/24:00558211 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/fdas20" target="_blank" >https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/fdas20</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17419166.2022.2097075" target="_blank" >10.1080/17419166.2022.2097075</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
The Connection between the Risk of Terrorism and Its Economic and Political Determinants, Analysis, and Application for Forecasting
Original language description
The paper is focused on studying the relationship between the risk of terrorism and economic and political development of 13 European countries, quantified using a set of socio-economic and political indicator variables. Numbers of terrorist attacks are used as a terrorist activity indicator. A method of categorisation of the numbers of terrorist attacks into a level of risk of terrorism index is presented. Proportional odds multinomial logit generalised linear model is used to describe the connection between the level of risk and the socio-economic and political indicator variables. The presented findings imply that the connection is significant for 9 out of the 13 studied countries. Furthermore, a possible application of the model for obtaining short time predictions of the probability of the levels of risk is presented using a real data set.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—
Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
50601 - Political science
Result continuities
Project
—
Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2023
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
DEMOCRACY & SECURITY
ISSN
1555-5860
e-ISSN
1741-9166
Volume of the periodical
19
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1
Country of publishing house
GB - UNITED KINGDOM
Number of pages
30
Pages from-to
28-57
UT code for WoS article
000822303900001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85133659686