GAM Modelling of Daily Number of Traffic Accidents as a Function of Meteorological Variables in the Czech Republic

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG42__%2F26%3A00564672" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G42__/26:00564672 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://ejobsat.cz/artkey/ejo-202501-0007_gam-modelling-of-daily-number-of-traffic-accidents-as-a-function-of-meteorological-variables-in-the-czech-repub.php" target="_blank" >https://ejobsat.cz/artkey/ejo-202501-0007_gam-modelling-of-daily-number-of-traffic-accidents-as-a-function-of-meteorological-variables-in-the-czech-repub.php</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/ejobsat.2024.014" target="_blank" >10.11118/ejobsat.2024.014</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

GAM Modelling of Daily Number of Traffic Accidents as a Function of Meteorological Variables in the Czech Republic

Original language description

Meteorological conditions exert a considerable influence on traffic patterns. This paper examines the influence of meteorological variables on the daily number of traffic accidents requiring fire brigade intervention. The influence of meteorological variables, including maximum temperature, wind speed, air pressure, precipitation, snow cover and sunshine, was examined. A Generalized Additive Model for variables with a Poisson distribution was employed for modelling purposes, as this allows for the representation of non-linear dependencies. The analysis demonstrates that the lowest incidence of accidents occurs at temperatures approximating 10 °C. The average daily number of accidents increases with windy weather, the minimum number of accidents occurs at zero precipitation, and the accident rate rises with higher levels of sunshine. In the Czech Republic, the period of greatest risk in terms of road traffic accidents is the summer and winter months. The findings may have several practical applications, for example, in the improvement of meteorological warnings in traffic.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_SC - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10103 - Statistics and probability

Project

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Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2025

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

European Journal of Business Science and Technology

ISSN

2336-6494

e-ISSN

2694-7161

Volume of the periodical

11

Issue of the periodical within the volume

1

Country of publishing house

CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

Number of pages

16

Pages from-to

23-38

UT code for WoS article

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EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-105011093219