The future distribution of river fish: The complex interplay of climate and land use changes, species dispersal and movement barriers

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41210%2F17%3A74798" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41210/17:74798 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13760" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13760</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13760" target="_blank" >10.1111/gcb.13760</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

The future distribution of river fish: The complex interplay of climate and land use changes, species dispersal and movement barriers

Original language description

The future distribution of river fishes will be jointly affected by climate and land use changes forcing species to move in space. However, little is known whether fish species will be able to keep pace with predicted climate and land use-driven habitat shifts, in particular in fragmented river networks. In this study, we coupled species distribution models (stepwise boosted regression trees) of 17 fish species with species-specific models of their dispersal (fish dispersal model FIDIMO) in the European River Elbe catchment. We quantified (i) the extent and direction (up-vs. downstream) of predicted habitat shifts under coupled moderate and severe climate and land use change scenarios for 2050, and (ii) the dispersal abilities of fishes to track predicted habitat shifts while explicitly considering movement barriers (e.g., weirs, dams). Our results revealed median net losses of suitable habitats of 24 and 94 river kilometers per species for the moderate and severe future scenarios, respectively. Pred

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

40103 - Fishery

Project

—

Continuities

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Publication year

2017

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

ISSN

1354-1013

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

23

Issue of the periodical within the volume

11

Country of publishing house

CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

Number of pages

17

Pages from-to

4970-4986

UT code for WoS article

000412322700043

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85020448944