Considering unseen arrivals in predictions of establishment risk based on border biosecurity interceptions

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F20%3A84629" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/20:84629 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/eap.2194" target="_blank" >https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/eap.2194</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/eap.2194" target="_blank" >10.1002/eap.2194</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Considering unseen arrivals in predictions of establishment risk based on border biosecurity interceptions

Original language description

Assessing species establishment risk is an important task used for informing biosecurity activities aimed at preventing biological invasions. Propagule pressure is a major contributor to the probability of invading species establishment, however, direct assessment of numbers of individuals arriving is virtually never possible. Inspections conducted at borders by biosecurity officials record counts of species (or higher-level taxa) intercepted during inspections, which can be used as proxies for arrival rates. Such data may therefore be useful for predicting species establishments, though some species may establish despite never being intercepted. We present a stochastic process-based model of the arrival-interception-establishment process to predict species establishment risk from interception count data. The model can be used to estimate the probability of establishment, both for species that were intercepted and species that had no interceptions during a given observation period. We fit the stochas

Czech name

—

Czech description

—

Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10618 - Ecology

Project

<a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000803" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000803: Advanced research supporting the forestry and wood-processing sector´s adaptation to global change and the 4th industrial revolution</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2020

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

ISSN

1051-0761

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

30

Issue of the periodical within the volume

8

Country of publishing house

CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

Number of pages

38

Pages from-to

1-38

UT code for WoS article

000572168800001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85091389327