Assessment of the Sources of Variation in Changes of Precipitation Characteristics over the Rhine Basin Using a Linear Mixed-Effects Model

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F15%3A67780" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/15:67780 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00775.1" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00775.1</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00775.1" target="_blank" >10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00775.1</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Assessment of the Sources of Variation in Changes of Precipitation Characteristics over the Rhine Basin Using a Linear Mixed-Effects Model

Original language description

A linear mixed-effects (LME) model is developed to discriminate the sources of variation in the changes of several precipitation characteristics over the Rhine basin as projected by an ensemble of 191 global climate model (GCM) simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The uncertainty in climate change projections originates from natural internal variability, imperfect climate models, and the unpredictability of future greenhouse gas forcing. The LME model allows forthe quantification of the contribution of these sources of uncertainty as well as the interaction between greenhouse gas forcing and climate model. In addition, dependence between climate models can be accounted for by using a two-level LME model in which the GCMs are grouped according to their atmospheric circulation model. Statistical models of varied complexity are assessed by the Akaike information criterion. More than 60% of the variance of the changes in mean summer precipitation

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_x - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

CEP classification

DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology

OECD FORD branch

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Project

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Continuities

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Publication year

2015

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

ISSN

0894-8755

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

28

Issue of the periodical within the volume

17

Country of publishing house

CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

Number of pages

17

Pages from-to

6903-6919

UT code for WoS article

000360590700017

EID of the result in the Scopus database

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