Spatially and Seasonally Differentiated Response of Soil Moisture Droughts to Climate Change in Germany
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F25%3A102081" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/25:102081 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005495" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005495</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005495" target="_blank" >10.1029/2024EF005495</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Spatially and Seasonally Differentiated Response of Soil Moisture Droughts to Climate Change in Germany
Original language description
Global warming is altering soil moisture (SM) droughts in Europe with a strong drying trend projected in the Mediterranean and wetting trends projected in Scandinavia. Central Europe, including Germany, lies in a transitional zone showing weaker and diverging change signals exposing the region to uncertainties. The recent extreme drought years in Germany, which resulted in multi-sectoral impacts accounting to combined drought and heat damages of 35 billion Euros and large scale forest losses, underline the relevance of studying future changes in SM droughts. To analyze the projected SM drought changes and associated uncertainties in Germany, we utilize a large ensemble of 57 bias-adjusted and spatially disaggregated regional climate model simulations to run the hydrologic model mHM at a high spatial resolution of approximately 1.2 km. We show that projections of future changes in soil moisture droughts over Germany depend on the emission scenario, the soil depth and the timing during the vegetation growing period. Most robust and widespread increases in soil moisture drought intensities are projected for upper soil layers in the late growing season (July-September) under the high emission scenario. There are greater uncertainties in the changes in soil moisture droughts in the early vegetation growing period (April-June). We find stronger imprints of changes in meteorological drivers controlling the spatial disparities of SM droughts than regional diversity in physio-geographic landscape properties. Our study provides nuanced insights into SM drought changes for an important climatic transition zone and is therefore relevant for regions with similar transitions.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10501 - Hydrology
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Earths Future
ISSN
2328-4277
e-ISSN
2328-4277
Volume of the periodical
13
Issue of the periodical within the volume
5
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
18
Pages from-to
1-18
UT code for WoS article
001484390300001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-105004688379