Diverging trends in large floods across Europe in a warming climate
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F25%3A102083" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/25:102083 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02734-y" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02734-y</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02734-y" target="_blank" >10.1038/s43247-025-02734-y</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Diverging trends in large floods across Europe in a warming climate
Original language description
Large floods, which affect multiple regions simultaneously, pose substantial risks to lives and economies. In a warmer climate, increased precipitation extremes and reduced snowmelt are expected to alter flood characteristics, but how the dynamics of large floods across Europe will evolve under climate change remains unclear. By jointly assessing projected changes in the timing, spatial extent and volume of large floods in a warmer world, here we show that earlier snowmelt generally leads to earlier floods, while increasing precipitation contributions attenuate flood seasonality. Although continental-scale averages suggest limited change, they mask substantial regional heterogeneity. In western Europe, projected increases in heavy precipitation result in larger flood extents and volumes. In contrast, reduced snowmelt dominates changes in the largest floods in northern Europe, with localized shifts from snowmelt-driven to rainfall-driven floods. These regionally diverse responses of large floods to climate change should be considered in transnational flood risk management across Europe.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10501 - Hydrology
Result continuities
Project
—
Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Communications Earth & Environment
ISSN
2662-4435
e-ISSN
2662-4435
Volume of the periodical
6
Issue of the periodical within the volume
AUG 29 2025
Country of publishing house
GB - UNITED KINGDOM
Number of pages
11
Pages from-to
1-11
UT code for WoS article
001560396900003
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-105014749669