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Modeling and Simulation of Local Epidemics

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61988987%3A17310%2F07%3AA0800KAX" target="_blank" >RIV/61988987:17310/07:A0800KAX - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/61988987:17610/07:A1000KAX

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Modeling and Simulation of Local Epidemics

  • Original language description

    A branching process model of a local epidemic is briefly discussed and some useful expressions are given for the fundamental characteristics of the epidemic outbreaks. Starting from the model, a program tool (written in SIMULA) is described for simulating small outbreaks of a contagious disease in a large susceptible population. The tool is able to visualize the spread of local epidemics in a realistic way. The results of simulation experiments showed a good agreement with the theoretical predictions.

  • Czech name

    Modelování a simulace Lokálních epidemií

  • Czech description

    Diskuse věnovaná modelu větvícího se procesu pro popis šíření lokální epidemie. Popis programu (v jazyku SIMULA) pro simulaci malých epidemií. Výsledky simulace na reálných datech v dobrém souladu s teoretickými předpověďmi.

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    BA - General mathematics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA201%2F06%2F0612" target="_blank" >GA201/06/0612: Computer simulation of anticipatory systems</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Others

  • Publication year

    2007

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Proceedings of International Conference on Computer Systems and Technologies

  • ISBN

    978-954-9641-50-9

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    6

  • Pages from-to

    1-6

  • Publisher name

    Bulgarian Union of Automation and Informatics

  • Place of publication

    Rousse

  • Event location

    Rousse

  • Event date

    Jun 14, 2007

  • Type of event by nationality

    EUR - Evropská akce

  • UT code for WoS article