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Dry Spells and Extreme Precipitation are The Main Trigger of Landslides in Central Europe

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61988987%3A17310%2F19%3AA20021E8" target="_blank" >RIV/61988987:17310/19:A20021E8 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/00020699:_____/19:N0000135

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-51148-2" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-51148-2</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-51148-2" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41598-019-51148-2</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Dry Spells and Extreme Precipitation are The Main Trigger of Landslides in Central Europe

  • Original language description

    Landslides are frequently triggered by extreme meteorological events which has led to concern anddebate about their activity in a future greenhouse climate. It is also hypothesized that dry spellspreceding triggering rainfall may increase slope predisposition to sliding, especially in the case ofclay-rich soils. Here we combined dendrogeomorphic time series of landslides and climatic records totest the possible role of dry spells and extreme downpours on process activity in the Outer WesternCarpathians (Central Europe). To this end, we tested time series of past frequencies and return periodsof landslide reactivations at the regional scale with a Generalized Linear Mixed (GLM) model toexplore linkages between landslide occurrences and triggering climate variables. Results show thatlandslide reactivations are concentrated during years in which spring and summer precipitation sumswere signifcantly higher than usual, and that triggering mechanisms vary between diferent typesof landslides (i.e. complex, shallow or fow-like). The GLM model also points to the susceptibility oflandslide bodies to the combined occurrence of long, dry spells followed by large precipitation. Suchsituations are likely to increase in frequency in the future as climate models predict an enhancementof heatwaves and dry spells in future summers, that would be interrupted by less frequent, yet moreintense storms, especially also in mountain regions.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10508 - Physical geography

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA19-01866S" target="_blank" >GA19-01866S: Ancient landslides: really inactive?</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2019

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Scientific Reports

  • ISSN

    2045-2322

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    9

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    October

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    10

  • Pages from-to

  • UT code for WoS article

    000489555200072

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85073109819