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How economic indicators impact the EU internal demand for critical raw materials.

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27350%2F21%3A10248024" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27350/21:10248024 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420721004268?via%3Dihub" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420721004268?via%3Dihub</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102417" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102417</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    How economic indicators impact the EU internal demand for critical raw materials.

  • Original language description

    To be able to better predict future demand for critical raw materials, to better negotiate trade agreements or to better stimulate the extraction of such raw materials, we investigate how economic indicators (raw material average annual price, EU GDP at purchasing power parity, cumulative EU inflation, and EU population) impact the EU internal demand for 11 raw materials in the period from 1994 to 2012. The results show that none of the critical raw materials has an identical trend in the development of internal EU demand with any economic indicator. There is a strong correlation between some of the factors studied and the internal EU demand for magnesite, tungsten, silicon (metal), chromium, and cobalt. The results also show that for most critical raw materials the correlation between the price of a critical raw material and its internal EU demand is lower than between other economic indicators and internal EU demand for certain critical raw material. This finding is consistent with economic theory indicating that the price is not a determinant of demand, but influences the quantity demanded. The demand curve shifts due to other factors and it can be observed in our findings on silicon (metal) element. The correlation between silicon (metal) demand and economic indicators such as cumulative EU inflation, the EU population and EU GDP are very high suggesting that this element is the most appropriate critical raw material to predict its internal EU demand. Using Spearman&apos;s rank correlation coefficient, the research results show that correlation between EU internal demand for critical raw materials and its economic indicators is positively affected by the volatility of this demand but negatively affected by its average value during reference period. The results may also be important with regard to recycling activities and identifying investment needs to alleviate Europe&apos;s reliance on imports of raw materials.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10500 - Earth and related environmental sciences

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju

Others

  • Publication year

    2021

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Resources Policy

  • ISSN

    0301-4207

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    74C

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    December

  • Country of publishing house

    GB - UNITED KINGDOM

  • Number of pages

    10

  • Pages from-to

    1-9

  • UT code for WoS article

    000714143700001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database