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Nonlinear Modeling of Electricity Price: Self Exciting Threshold Auto-Regressive Approach

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F09%3A00020595" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27510/09:00020595 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Nonlinear Modeling of Electricity Price: Self Exciting Threshold Auto-Regressive Approach

  • Original language description

    The aim of this paper is to estimate and test non-linearities in the electricity prices of three selected regions (California, Nord Europe and Austria).. To exploit non-linearity, we apply the SETAR (Self Exciting Threshold Auto-Regressive) models that imply and distinct regimes in time series dynamics with potentially different parameters (and thus dynamics properties) of each regimes. We find the most appropriate SETAR model for modeling electricity prices at selected markets, next we perform the statistical verification of each model and we also find out if our model outperform the linear AR model.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    AH - Economics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GP402%2F07%2FP121" target="_blank" >GP402/07/P121: Real options and conditions and possibilities of their application in the energy sector</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2009

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Finanční řízení podniků a finančních institucí

  • ISBN

    978-80-248-2059-0

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    11

  • Pages from-to

  • Publisher name

    Vysoká škola báňská - Technická univerzita Ostrava, Ekonomická fakulta

  • Place of publication

    Ostrava

  • Event location

    Ostrava

  • Event date

    Sep 9, 2009

  • Type of event by nationality

    WRD - Celosvětová akce

  • UT code for WoS article