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A prediction of long-run macroeconomic relations and investigation of domestic shock effects in the Czech economy

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F11%3A86078948" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27510/11:86078948 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    A prediction of long-run macroeconomic relations and investigation of domestic shock effects in the Czech economy

  • Original language description

    The aim of the paper is to estimate a macroeconomic model of the Czech economy which will be used for the investigation of impulse response function to domestic and external shocks and a macroeconomic development prediction will be compared with the realCzech economy development. The macroeconomic model uses a modification of the modelling strategy developed by Garratt, Lee, Pesaran and Shin (2006). The strategy provides a practical approach to incorporating theoretic long-run relationships of a smallopen economy through a structural vector error correction model (VECM). The data are quarterly and run from the first quarter 1996 to the fourth quarter of 2010. We are able to identify the long-run structure amongst those variables and to test over-identifying restrictions on the cointegrating vectors. We analyse the consequences of imposing the long-run restrictions for the impulse response functions. The estimated macroeconomic model has been used for the prediction.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    AH - Economics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA402%2F08%2F1015" target="_blank" >GA402/08/1015: Macroeconomic Models of the Cyech Economy and Economies of the other EU Countries</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2011

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Mathematical Models and Methods in Modern Science

  • ISBN

    978-1-61804-055-8

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    6

  • Pages from-to

    15-20

  • Publisher name

    WSEAS Press

  • Place of publication

    Puerto De La Cruz

  • Event location

    Puerto De La Cruz, Tenerife

  • Event date

    Dec 10, 2011

  • Type of event by nationality

    WRD - Celosvětová akce

  • UT code for WoS article