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Application of ARMA-GARCH Returns Generation in Portfolio Selection Process

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F22%3A10250227" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27510/22:10250227 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://mme2022.vspj.cz/download/proceedings-2.pdf" target="_blank" >https://mme2022.vspj.cz/download/proceedings-2.pdf</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Application of ARMA-GARCH Returns Generation in Portfolio Selection Process

  • Original language description

    In this paper, we examine the application of a return scenario generation procedure in the portfolio optimization strategy based on an ARMA-GARCH model. We assume that residuals follow a stable distribution and the dependency structure of residuals is determined by Student t and skewed t copula. Moreover, we analyse the modification in dependency estimation of residuals obtained from the ARMA-GARCH model in order to find an appropriate setting. Then, we compare the effect of selected return approximation methods on the ex-post portfolio wealth and statistics determined using a portfolio model maximizing selected widely used reward-risk measures. Additionally, the strategy consists of monthly re-optimization and transaction costs expressed proportionally. The following empirical analysis on the U.S. market data allows us to evaluate the impact of return approximation in the portfolio optimization process. Results obtained using analysed approaches generate lower risk with affecting portfolio performance for certain models compared to the benchmark.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50206 - Finance

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA20-16764S" target="_blank" >GA20-16764S: A generalized approach to stochastic dominance: theory and financial applications</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2022

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    40th International Conference Mathematical Methods in Economics 2022 : Proceedings : College of Polytechnics Jihlava : 7 – 9 September 2022, Jihlava, Czech Republic

  • ISBN

    978-80-88064-62-6

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    6

  • Pages from-to

    250-256

  • Publisher name

    College of Polytechnics Jihlava

  • Place of publication

    Jihlava

  • Event location

    Jihlava

  • Event date

    Oct 7, 2022

  • Type of event by nationality

    EUR - Evropská akce

  • UT code for WoS article

    000936355000039