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A prolonged period of low interest rates in Europe: Unintended consequences

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F23%3A10251445" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27510/23:10251445 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/00216208:11230/23:10456214 RIV/61384399:31110/23:00058992

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/joes.12499" target="_blank" >https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/joes.12499</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/joes.12499" target="_blank" >10.1111/joes.12499</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    A prolonged period of low interest rates in Europe: Unintended consequences

  • Original language description

    We examine the potential adverse effects of a prolonged period of low interest rates on financial stability from multiple perspectives. First, we provide a unique comparison of natural rates of interest estimated using two approaches-with and without financial factors-for six large European countries inside and outside the euro area. Second, we provide a comprehensive review of the empirical literature, allowing us to identify and categorize financial vulnerabilities, which may be created and fueled by low interest rates. Third, we discuss a situation in which a prolonged period of low interest rates may lead to a point of no return by contributing to higher indebtedness, overvalued asset prices and underpriced risks, resource and credit misallocation, and lower productivity. With respect to all of that, we offer a few monetary policy considerations. Specifically, we suggest that (i) monetary policy should act symmetrically over the medium to long term, (ii) both the short-term and long-term costs and benefits of pursuing accommodative or restrictive monetary policy should be accounted for, and (iii) monetary and macroprudential policies need to be coordinated, and their interactions should be accounted for in order to find the best policy mix for the economy.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50206 - Finance

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2023

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Journal of Economic Surveys

  • ISSN

    0950-0804

  • e-ISSN

    1467-6419

  • Volume of the periodical

    37

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    2

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    47

  • Pages from-to

    526-572

  • UT code for WoS article

    000767953700001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85126090839